Nearing Bottom? Litecoin Prices Consolidating After Rough September

10. October 2017.

Nearing Bottom? Litecoin Prices Consolidating After Rough September

Litecoin’s price has had a hard time in the fallout of China’s initial coin offering (ICO) ban.

While both bitcoin and litecoin took a hit after the early September statement from Chinese regulators – followed by domestic cryptocurrency exchanges voluntarily ceasing to offer services in the aftermath – bitcoin quickly recovered and neared record highs against the US dollar this week.

As litecoin support struggled, bitcoin seems to have benefitted from the rotation out of ether and ethereum-based tokens, triggered by fears of China-like ICO restrictions in other jurisdictions.

Against the U.S. dollar, litecoin is now down by more than $40 from its record high of $98.28, achieved on September 1. Further, the litecoin-bitcoin (LTC/BTC) exchange rate fell from 0.019 BTC (September 2 high) to 0.0098 BTC this week.

At press time, LTC/BTC is trading at 0.0105 BTC – down 0.9 percent on the day. Week-over-week, the pair is down 13.22 percent, while on a monthly basis, it is nursing a 34 percent loss.

However, price action analysis suggests that the LTC/BTC pair could be nearing a bottom.

4-hour chart

The 4-hour chart shows that:

  • The relative strength index (RSI) is rising from the oversold region.
  • The falling trend line is seen offering resistance at 0.0115 BTC.

Daily chart: RSI oversold

Weekly chart

The weekly chart shows that:

  • Prices are currently hovering around the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement level of 0.01025 BTC, which acted as a strong support mechanism in May, June and August.
  • Trading volumes have dropped significantly during the recent sell-off.
  • The upward sloping 50-day moving average is seen offering support at 0.0098 BTC.


  • The oversold conditions on the daily and 4-hour chart – which come at a time when prices are hovering around the critical 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support level – indicates the LTC/BTC pair could be nearing a bottom.
  • The dips below 0.01025 BTC (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) are likely to be short-lived.
  • The pair is more likely to rally to 0.012 and 0.0135 (200-day moving average) levels in the short run.

Image via Shutterstock

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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.

Published at Wed, 11 Oct 2017 16:00:48 +0000

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