TA: Bitcoin Holds Uptrend Support, Why 100 SMA Is The Key

10. February 2022.

Bitcoin remained well supported near the $42,700 support zone against the US Dollar. BTC is rising and might accelerate higher above $44,850 in the near term.

Bitcoin is holding gains, but it is still well below the $45,000 resistance zone.
The price is trading above $43,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
There is a key rising channel forming with support near $44,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The pair could decline sharply if there is a clear move below the 100 hourly SMA.

Bitcoin Price Aims Fresh Increase

Bitcoin price started a downside correction below the $44,000 level. BTC even declined below the $43,000 level, but the bulls appeared near the $42,700 zone.

The price also remained stable above $42,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. A low was formed near $42,709 and the price started a fresh increase. There was a clear move above the $43,200 and $43,500 resistance levels.

Besides, the price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $45,500 swing high to $42,709 low.

There is also a key rising channel forming with support near $44,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin price is now trading above $42,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the $44,500 level.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The next major resistance is near the $44,850 zone or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $45,500 swing high to $42,709 low, above which the price may perhaps rally above $45,000. In the stated case, the price could continue to rise towards the $46,500 level.

Downside Break in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to start a fresh increase above $44,850, it could continue to move down. An immediate support on the downside is near the $44,000 zone.

The next major support is seen near the $43,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If there is a downside break below the $43,500 support, the price could start a major decline towards the $41,200 level.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly moving into the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now near the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $44,000, followed by $43,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $44,850, $45,000 and $45,500.

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