TA: Bitcoin Near Crucial Juncture: Why BTC Could Surge Further

1. February 2022.

Bitcoin is attempting an upside break above the $38,800 resistance zone against the US Dollar. BTC could rally further unless it fails to stay above $37,400.

Bitcoin started a fresh increase and was able to clear the $38,000 resistance zone.
The price is now trading above $37,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $37,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The pair could continue to rise if there is a clear move above the $38,800 resistance zone.

Bitcoin Price Starts Fresh Increase

Bitcoin price corrected lower below the $38,000 pivot level. BTC even traded below $37,000, but the bulls were active near the $37,650. A low was formed near $36,667 and the price started a fresh increase.

There was a clear move above the $37,500 resistance zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $37,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

The pair surged above the $38,000 resistance zone. A high is formed near $38,786, and bitcoin is now facing a major resistance near the $38,800 zone.

It is currently trading near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $36,667 swing low to $38,786 high. On the upside, an initial resistance is near the $38,500 level.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $38,800 zone. A clear move above the $38,800 zone could push the price further higher. The next key resistance is near the $39,500 zone. If the bulls able to clear the $39,500 level, the price may perhaps clear the $40,000 resistance zone.

Downsides Limited in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to start a fresh increase above $38,800, it could start a downside correction. An immediate support on the downside is near the $38,000 zone.

The first major support is seen near the $37,750 zone. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $36,667 swing low to $38,786 high. A downside break below the $37,500 support zone may perhaps push the price towards the $37,000 support zone.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $37,500, followed by $37,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $38,500, $38,800 and $40,000.

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